Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.218697 1.493916 1.850386 2.361572 3.104583 4.197751 6.046270
2025-04-06 0.841071 1.126665 1.552828 2.285196 3.643643 6.438988 14.382638
2025-04-13 0.657730 0.929677 1.373393 2.237187 4.173333 9.610737 39.746703
2025-04-20 0.579574 0.859462 1.355367 2.447531 5.463938 18.327303 386.617822
2025-04-27 0.514589 0.790209 1.309620 2.571682 6.766125 35.420219 NaN
2025-05-04 0.454826 0.715116 1.226964 2.562280 7.700694 64.611094 NaN
2025-05-11 0.401698 0.641484 1.126620 2.456001 8.158460 108.377092 NaN
2025-05-18 0.370177 0.602836 1.090943 2.517847 9.654090 329.398368 NaN
2025-05-25 0.348206 0.578726 1.081241 2.658293 12.144178 5437.811700 NaN
2025-06-01 0.322789 0.543629 1.037341 2.663396 13.880754 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.296141 0.502465 0.970349 2.554895 14.444335 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.282849 0.487434 0.965580 2.685723 18.394804 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.266257 0.463779 0.935215 2.706216 21.587279 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.248129 0.434879 0.886067 2.624950 23.072998 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.232881 0.410749 0.845920 2.568659 25.149848 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.228114 0.409311 0.868155 2.827048 39.063687 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.220589 0.400686 0.868229 2.980400 56.078673 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.209986 0.383826 0.840959 2.968794 67.305949 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.197870 0.362385 0.796729 2.837617 68.492771 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.191010 0.352746 0.787159 2.913890 94.904742 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.186365 0.347914 0.791710 3.087768 164.481979 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.179163 0.336249 0.772609 3.094103 223.197486 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.170290 0.319854 0.736028 2.959666 224.664922 NaN NaN